The results of the election are set to be declared on June 4th, but in the meantime, many are intrigued and curious about the winner. This phenomenon is spreading across the nation in every state. Psephologists are discussing the uncertain public mood ahead of the 2024 Lok Sabha Election.
Despite anticipating a BJP majority, they feel that unexpected outcomes are possible. The BJP faces challenges even in its northern strongholds but is expected to gain in non-BJP states like Telangana, Odisha, and Bengal.
Unlike the past decade, there is no strong pro-government wave or significant public anger against the current administration. Instead, there is a general sense of discontent that the Opposition has not effectively leveraged.
Senior journalist Neerja Chowdhury described this election as complex and challenging to interpret, noting the absence of a clear Modi wave or the presence of angered voters. The Opposition parties have focused on criticizing the incumbents, but this effort may not translate into victory.
Political strategist Amitabh Tiwari emphasized that while there is discontent, it hasn't been converted into anger due to the lack of a strong political movement. Voting decisions are emotionally driven by hope or anger, and the current election started with national issues but shifted to respond to the Opposition's agenda.
Sanjay Kumar from CSDS highlighted the silent majority's pre-election decisions driven by aspirations for a brighter future. He pointed out that major voting segments like women and welfare beneficiaries are underrepresented on social media, which might mislead the Opposition and could emerge as a silent wave.
The BJP aims for 370 seats and targets 30-plus seats from allies to reach 400. It is hoped that gains in non-BJP states like Odisha, Andhra Pradesh, and Telangana may offset potential losses in the north and Karnataka. Success in Bengal and Maharashtra is crucial as outcomes in these states will largely affect the BJP's tally.
The final phase of voting is on June 1, with results expected on June 4.
