The recently concluded Delhi Assembly elections could mark the end of Arvind Kejriwal’s Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) dream run in the national capital, if exit polls are any indication.
Six out of seven exit polls predict a BJP victory, with only one giving AAP a narrow chance.
Matrize has projected a maximum of 37 seats for AAP, just two more than the majority mark of 35 in the 70-member assembly.
The rest of the exit polls suggest a change of guard, indicating that Delhi voters may have shifted their allegiance from AAP to the BJP.
Four polls predict AAP winning between 15 and 35 seats, while the BJP is expected to secure 38 to 40-plus seats. Only one survey, People’s Pulse, forecasts a BJP landslide, projecting 51-60 seats.
On average, the exit poll aggregate predicts 26 seats for AAP and 43 for BJP. The Congress remains a minor player, with most pollsters projecting a maximum of three seats.
While exit polls are not always accurate, they had correctly predicted AAP’s victories in the last two elections, though they underestimated the party’s sweeping mandates.
The BJP’s aggressive election campaign largely revolved around corruption allegations against AAP—a party that originally rose to power on the back of Anna Hazare’s anti-corruption movement.
Over the past two years, several AAP leaders, including Arvind Kejriwal and his close aide Manish Sisodia, have faced multiple corruption allegations and spent time in judicial custody, casting a shadow over the party’s political standing.
