Since the beginning of the election season, various organizations have rushed to conduct surveys in different ways, revealing their results at every stage.
Political parties also conduct their own surveys to adjust their strategies accordingly, based on the public's mood. While surveys are one thing, exit polls are another.
Survey results can change, but exit polls aim to find out who people actually voted for immediately after they cast their ballots.
However, this time there is a confusing situation in Andhra Pradesh.
Some organizations predict that YCP will win with an undisputed majority, while others claim that the TDP alliance will emerge victorious. For every five organizations that favor YCP, there are five that favor TDP.
Exit polls are supposed to be closer or similar across different institutions. If there are significant discrepancies, it raises suspicion about the credibility of those companies.
The recent exit polls provide a good example of this issue. There is a national consensus among almost all organizations that the NDA alliance will come to power with more than 300 seats. This consistency suggests that, regardless of how many organizations conduct exit polls, the results should be similar.
In contrast, predictions for the Andhra Pradesh elections are inconsistent. Half of the forecasts favor YCP, while the other half favor the Telugu Desam Party. This discrepancy suggests that some organizations might be revealing their biases rather than objective results.
Reputable organizations, like Aaraa, which regularly conduct surveys, fear losing their credibility if their estimates go wrong. Conversely, lesser-known firms do not hesitate to publish dubious exit polls.
This inconsistency has led people to joke that it is better to call these "kitchen recipe polls" rather than exit polls.
