Let us analyze the situation in the combined Nellore district and its MLA constituencies under it owing to the present election scenario.
First, let us delve into the Nellore City Assembly constituency where Md Khaleel Ahmad is contesting from YCP and former Minister Ponguru Narayana is contesting from TDP. The situation looks favorable for TDP in this region.
Coming to Nellore Rural, Adala Prabhakhar Reddy is contesting from YCP and Kotamreddy Sreedhar Reddy is vying from TDP. The situation looks slightly favorable for Adala owing to the land grabbing allegations against TDP contestants.
Atmakur has Mekapati Vikram Reddy from YCP while Anam Ramanarayana Reddy is contesting from TDP. The situation looks favorable for the victory of Mekapati Vikram Reddy.
Even in Udayagiri, a member of the Mekapati family is contesting from YCP. While Mekapati Rajagopal Reddy is contesting from YCP, it is Kakarla Suresh who is contesting from TDP. The situation is very favorable for YCP in this region.
Kovuru has an interesting fight between Nallapureddy Prasanna Kumar Reddy of YCP and Vemireddy Parashanti Reddy of TDP, who recently defected from YCP. Unless Parashanti Reddy's money power politics are combated, the result may not be in favor of YCP here.
Kavali is seeing a fight between Ramireddy Pratap Kumar Reddy of YCP and Kavya Krishnareddy of TDP. Ground reports say that Pratap Kumar Reddy has winning prospects.
Sarvepalli is going to be won by YSRCP's Kakani Govardhan Reddy against ex-TDP Minister Somireddy Chandramohan Reddy.
Gudur (SC Reserved) is also going to see a definite win for YSRCP's Meriga Muralidhar against TDP's Pasam Suneel Kumar.
Venkatagiri has a tough fight between YSRCP's Nedurumalli Ram Kumar Reddy and TDP candidate Lakshmi Sai Priya, but the situation looks a little favorable for YSRCP.
Sullurpeta has an advantage for YSRCP which will register a definite win. Kiliveti Sanjeevayya is contesting from YSRCP while Dr. Vijayasri is on the side of TDP.
So, TDP will win Nellore City for sure, and the constituencies in combined Nellore district like Sarvepalli, Sullurpet, Atmakuru, Guduru, Kavali, and Udayagiri constituencies will be won by YSRCP.
The competition in Nellore Rural, Venkatagiri, and Kovuru constituencies is tough. This is the current political situation in the Nellore constituency, which is like a formidable fort of YSRCP.