We've put in a lot of legwork, having our team move in various constituencies over the past two months.
We acknowledge that drawing conclusions on the likely winner solely based on surveys is challenging, as there's no clear one-sided trend evident from the collected samples.
The margin is insignificant for both sides in almost every constituency.
However, based on the statistics we've gathered, we estimate that YSRCP has a chance of securing 105-115 seats.
On the contrary, a TV channel director predicts a resounding victory for YSRCP based on the TRP ratings of Telugu news channels.
He asserts that pro-YCP channels NTV, TV9, and Sakshi command a 70% viewership in the state, while pro-TDP channels TV5, ABN, and ETV hold only 30%, reflecting the prevailing mood of the state. His prediction stands at 153 out of 175 seats for YSRCP.
Another political analyst concurs that YSRCP is poised for victory without a doubt, emphasizing that the shift in Kapu votes will determine whether YSRCP secures 123 seats or surpasses 150. This analyst suggests that Kapu women overwhelmingly support YSRCP, with 50% of Kapu votes already leaning in their favor, leaving uncertainty about the remaining 50%.
Meanwhile, TDP supporters express unwavering confidence in their victory, projecting that Kutami will secure anywhere between 120 and 130 seats, limiting YCP to 50-60. They assert assured victories for CBN in Kuppam, Lokesh in Mangalagiri, and Balakrishna in Hindupuram with significant margins.
However, YSRCP advocates strongly assert that TDP's strength lies only within pro-TDP media and YouTube influencers, whereas core voters have firmly aligned with YSRCP, ensuring a landslide victory. They confidently predict Chandrababu's defeat in Kuppam for the first time and anticipate a significant setback for Pawan Kalyan, attributing it to internal conflicts within the Kutami of that region.
The turnout at rallies for both YSRCP, Janasena, and TDP is substantial, adding to the complexity of predicting outcomes based on crowd size.
Jagan Mohan Reddy focused his campaign on highlighting his welfare schemes and refuting TDP's allegations, while Kutami adopted an offensive stance against Jagan Mohan Reddy.
Amidst the multitude of surveys and influencers' opinions, it remains challenging to predict the logical winner, as each narrative appears convincing yet confusing at the same time.
